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Comparing 12 Markers
|
| In comparing 12 markers, the probability that Wright #18984 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last... |
|
Years
|
# mismatches
|
100 years
|
200 years
|
300 years
|
400 years
|
500 years
|
600 years
|
|
Probability to Wright 23954
|
0
|
33.57%
|
55.88%
|
70.69%
|
80.53%
|
87.07%
|
91.41%
|
|
Probability to Wright 25068
|
0
|
33.57%
|
55.88%
|
70.69%
|
80.53%
|
87.07%
|
91.41%
|
|
Probability to Wright 13874
|
1
|
7.18%
|
20.19%
|
34.50%
|
47.91%
|
59.49%
|
69.03%
|
|
Probability to Wright 21186
|
1
|
7.18%
|
20.19%
|
34.50%
|
47.91%
|
59.49%
|
69.03%
|
|
Probability to Wright 22990
|
1
|
7.18%
|
20.19%
|
34.50%
|
47.91%
|
59.49%
|
69.03%
|
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 1 - 2 mismatches.
However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #18984 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations.
Since each marker has a different mutation rate, identical Genetic Distances will not necessarily yield the same probabilities. In other words, even though Wright #18984 has a Genetic Distance of 1 from Wright #13874, someone else with the same Genetic Distance may have different probabilities, because the distance of 1 was prompted by mutations in different markers, with different mutation rates.
|
|
Comparing 25 Markers
|
| In comparing 25 markers, the probability that Wright #18984 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last... |
|
Years
|
# mismatches
|
100 years
|
200 years
|
300 years
|
400 years
|
500 years
|
600 years
|
|
Probability to Wright 25068
|
0
|
61.17%
|
84.92%
|
94.15%
|
97.73%
|
99.12%
|
99.66%
|
|
Probability to Wright 13874
|
1
|
27.74%
|
58.51%
|
78.49%
|
89.48%
|
95.04%
|
97.72%
|
|
Probability to Wright 21186
|
1
|
27.74%
|
58.51%
|
78.49%
|
89.48%
|
95.04%
|
97.72%
|
|
Probability to Wright 22990
|
1
|
27.74%
|
58.51%
|
78.49%
|
89.48%
|
95.04%
|
97.72%
|
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 1 and 4 mismatches respectively.
However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #18984 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations. |
|
Comparing 37 Markers
|
| In comparing 37 markers, the probability that Wright #18984 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last... |
|
Years
|
# mismatches
|
100 years
|
200 years
|
300 years
|
400 years
|
500 years
|
600 years
|
|
Probability to Wright 21186
|
1
|
59.03%
|
89.06%
|
97.48%
|
99.46%
|
99.89%
|
99.98%
|
|
Probability to Wright 22990
|
1
|
59.03%
|
89.06%
|
97.48%
|
99.46%
|
99.89%
|
99.98%
|
|
Probability to Wright 13874
|
2
|
30.80%
|
71.02%
|
90.53%
|
97.31%
|
99.30%
|
99.83%
|
|
Probability to Wright 25068
|
2
|
57.86%
|
88.33%
|
97.21%
|
99.38%
|
99.87%
|
99.97%
|
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 3 mismatches.
However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #18984 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations.
Since each marker has a different mutation rate, identical Genetic Distances will not necessarily yield the same probabilities. In other words, even though Wright #18984 has a Genetic Distance of 2 from Wright #13874, someone else with the same Genetic Distance may have different probabilities, because the distance of 2 was prompted by mutations in different markers, with different mutation rates.
|
* The FTDNATiP™ results are based on the mutation rate study presented during the 1st International Conference on Genetic Genealogy, on Oct. 30.2004. The above probabilities take into consideration the mutation rates for each individual marker being compared.
More questions? Please refer to the FTDNATiP™ FAQ page. |