FTDNATiP™ Report

Family Tree DNA Time Predictor*
Version 1.1 - Patent Pending

Comparing 12 Markers

In comparing 12 markers, the probability that Wright #22990 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last...
Years
# mismatches
100 years
200 years
300 years
400 years
500 years
600 years
Probability to Wright 21186
0
33.57%
55.88%
70.69%
80.53%
87.07%
91.41%
Probability to Wright 18984
1
7.18%
20.19%
34.50%
47.91%
59.49%
69.03%
Probability to Wright 23954
1
7.18%
20.19%
34.50%
47.91%
59.49%
69.03%
Probability to Wright 25068
1
7.18%
20.19%
34.50%
47.91%
59.49%
69.03%
Probability to Wright 13874
2
7.18%
20.19%
34.50%
47.91%
59.49%
69.03%
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 0 - 2 mismatches.

However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #22990 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations.

Since each marker has a different mutation rate, identical Genetic Distances will not necessarily yield the same probabilities. In other words, even though Wright #22990 has a Genetic Distance of 1 from Wright #18984, and a Genetic Distance of 2 from Wright #13874, the Genetic Distance may have different probabilities, because the distance was prompted by mutations in different markers, with different mutation rates.

Comparing 25 Markers

In comparing 25 markers, the probability that Wright #22990 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last...
Years
# mismatches
100 years
200 years
300 years
400 years
500 years
600 years
Probability to Wright 21186
0
61.17%
84.92%
94.15%
97.73%
99.12%
99.66%
Probability to Wright 18984
1
27.74%
58.51%
78.49%
89.48%
95.04%
97.72%
Probability to Wright 25068
1
27.74%
58.51%
78.49%
89.48%
95.04%
97.72%
Probability to Wright 13874
2
27.74%
58.51%
78.49%
89.48%
95.04%
97.72%
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 1 and 4 mismatches respectively.

However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #22990 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations.

Comparing 37 Markers

In comparing 37 markers, the probability that Wright #22990 shared a common ancestor with the following participants within the last...
Years
# mismatches
100 years
200 years
300 years
400 years
500 years
600 years
Probability to Wright 21186
0
83.49%
97.28%
99.55%
99.93%
99.99%
100.00%
Probability to Wright 18984
1
59.03%
89.06%
97.48%
99.46%
99.89%
99.98%
Probability to Wright 13874
3
30.80%
71.02%
90.53%
97.31%
99.30%
99.83%
Probability to Wright 25068
3
30.80%
71.02%
90.53%
97.31%
99.30%
99.83%
The above numbers are based exclusively on the comparison of their Y-DNA results, which show 3 mismatches.

However, these results can be refined if their paper trail indicates that no common ancestor between Wright #22990 and the other participants could have lived in a certain number of past generations.
* The FTDNATiP™ results are based on the mutation rate study presented during the 1st International Conference on Genetic Genealogy, on Oct. 30.2004. The above probabilities take into consideration the mutation rates for each individual marker being compared.
More questions? Please refer to the FTDNATiP™ FAQ page.